Scouting Phils Prospect #16: Kelly Dugan

Scouting Phils Prospect #16: Kelly Dugan

Kelly Dugan is going to be fun to watch in 2013. He could be poised for a breakout season after proving himself last season in his first full-season outing with Lakewood. The young outfielder/first baseman does a lot of things very well and could surprise some people with just how successful he could be.

Kelly Dugan

Position: Rightfielder / First Baseman
Bats/Throws: Left / Right
Birthday/Age: September 18, 1990 (22)
Ht/Wt: 6' 3", 195 pounds

How he became a Phillie: Drafted by the Phillies in the second round (75th overall pick) of the 2009 Draft.

Defense: Dugan started his professional career as strictly an outfielder, playing all three outfield spots in his first season, then spending time at just the corner spots after that. The past two seasons, the Phillies have used him in right field and have had him playing some first base. His outfield defense is good and he's developed better mechanics that have improved his ability to throw out runners on the basepaths. In his first two seasons, Dugan compiled just two outfield assists, but he's got nine in just the last two seasons in right field. His range isn't great, but it's adequate.

Dugan played first base in high school and moving him back to that position adds to his versatility, which will work in his favor. He's got good range and instincts around the bag and knows how to scoop out throws in the dirt.

Scouting Report: The Phillies didn't have a first round pick in 2009, so Dugan was actually the first player they selected and there were some scouts surprised by the pick. It was thought that Dugan would take his scholarship to Pepperdine and use that as his path to the majors, but he elected to sign with the Phillies. Initially, it looked like Dugan was a stretch, but it was actually just the usual growing pains of a high school kid going off to play in the minors.

When you watch Dugan, you don't come away thinking that there is anything that he does in a spectacular fashion and you're pretty much right on with that assessment. Instead, with Dugan, you get a guy who is going to play hard and work hard at every aspect of the game. If there is anything that is notable it's that he projects to develop more raw power than he's shown in games, but he's a monster in batting practice, so it's just a matter of getting the power to convert. 

Last season, Dugan put together a line of 12-60-.300/.387/.470 and he made it look easy. He'll be at Clearwater this season and it's going to be interesting to see how he performs there and whether the Phillies will fast track him if he gets off to a good start.

Ceiling: Again, don't look for anything spectacular from Dugan. He's not likely to win home run or batting titles, but he's going to contribute a lot in all aspects of the game. With the exception of stolen base numbers, he could be a Shane Victorino type of player. Odds are that he can play in the majors as an everyday player either in right field or at first base, depending on where the Phillies would need him to concentrate his energies. 

ETA: Dugan should start to enter conversations about seeing some playing time by 2016. In case you're wondering, Ryan Howard's contract goes through the 2016 season, with a club option for 2017. It's very possible that Dugan could wind up as Howard's successor if his bat develops enough for him to stick at first base.

Kelly Dugan's career stats

YearTeamGABRH2B3BHRRBISBBBSOBAOBPSLG
2009GCL Phillies451501835810891230.233.297.300
2010GCL Phillies93312194114244.576.650.848
2010Williamsport196061560040517.250.343.350
2010combined stats28931834101182921.366.455.527
2011Williamsport4717625504422161434.284.343.386
2012Lakewood117430831293321260548122.300.387.470
4 Seasons23784914424855815972283207.292.370.429
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 2/5/2013.


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